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Curvature-Weighted Contact Networks: Spectral Reduction and Global Stability in a Markovian SIR Model

Published 4 days agoVersion 1arXiv:2512.10331

Authors

Marcilio Ferreira dos Santos

Categories

math.DSmath.PRq-bio.PE

Abstract

We propose a new network-based SIR epidemic model in which transmission is modulated by a curvature-weighted contact matrix that encodes structural and geometric features of the underlying graph. The formulation encompasses both adjacency-driven and Markovian mixing, allowing heterogeneous interactions to be shaped by curvature-sensitive topological properties. We prove that the basic reproduction number satisfies \[ R_0=\fracβγλ_{\max}(M), \] where $M$ is the curvature-weighted transmission operator. Using Perron--Frobenius theory together with linear and nonlinear Lyapunov functionals, we establish: (i) global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium when $R_0<1$, and (ii) existence and global asymptotic stability of a unique endemic equilibrium when $R_0>1$. Our results show that curvature acts as a geometric regularizer of connectivity, lowering spectral radii, raising effective epidemic thresholds, and organizing the long-term dynamics through monotone contraction toward the endemic state. This framework generalizes classical network epidemiology by integrating geometric information directly into transmission operators, providing a rigorous foundation for epidemic dynamics on structurally heterogeneous networks.

Curvature-Weighted Contact Networks: Spectral Reduction and Global Stability in a Markovian SIR Model

4 days ago
v1
1 author

Categories

math.DSmath.PRq-bio.PE

Abstract

We propose a new network-based SIR epidemic model in which transmission is modulated by a curvature-weighted contact matrix that encodes structural and geometric features of the underlying graph. The formulation encompasses both adjacency-driven and Markovian mixing, allowing heterogeneous interactions to be shaped by curvature-sensitive topological properties. We prove that the basic reproduction number satisfies \[ R_0=\fracβγλ_{\max}(M), \] where $M$ is the curvature-weighted transmission operator. Using Perron--Frobenius theory together with linear and nonlinear Lyapunov functionals, we establish: (i) global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium when $R_0<1$, and (ii) existence and global asymptotic stability of a unique endemic equilibrium when $R_0>1$. Our results show that curvature acts as a geometric regularizer of connectivity, lowering spectral radii, raising effective epidemic thresholds, and organizing the long-term dynamics through monotone contraction toward the endemic state. This framework generalizes classical network epidemiology by integrating geometric information directly into transmission operators, providing a rigorous foundation for epidemic dynamics on structurally heterogeneous networks.

Authors

Marcilio Ferreira dos Santos

arXiv ID: 2512.10331
Published Dec 11, 2025

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